MyDD :: 2 new polls agree - "The Sky Is Not Falling."

2 new polls agree - "The Sky Is Not Falling."

by rapcetera, Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:39:27 PM EST

So I guess that McCain + 5 Zogby poll can finally be put to rest now eh.

New CBS/NYT and NBC/WSJ Poll's agree that Obama is slightly ahead 45% - 42%

Some internals from the NBC poll:

McCain Advantages:

In handling terrorism: 51 - 23%

International crises: 52 - 27%

The War in Iraq: 46 - 36%

Obama Advantages:

Healthcare 48 - 27%

The Environment and Global Warming: 47 - 21%

(THE BIG ONE) Jobs and Unemployment: 47 - 25%

Improving the economy: 42 - 30%

On voter excitement, its:

McCain: 12% excited, 48% satisfied, 41% lesser of 2 evils
Obama: 45% excited, 36% satisfied, 18% lesser of 2 evils

Not bad eh?

Would post details on the CBS poll, but I gotta go watch the Olympics.....

Tags: Polls, Barack Obama (all tags)

Permalink :: 16 Comments :: Post a Comment

Re: 2 new polls agree - (2.00 / 1)

I cannot understand how people trust McCain on the War in Iraq yet strongly support Obama's plan. If 2006 showed us anything, it's that it helps to remind people of who's fault the Iraq occupation is.

by Skaje on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:44:48 PM EST

Re: 2 new (2.00 / 0)

You have got to be kidding me. We should be up by 10%. The generic poll has dems up by 12%, bush
s appoval is at what 28%, and the right track wrong track is 25% plus and 70 wrong direction. This is a no brainer democratic year and at best BO is up what a couple of percent.

McCain is an awful candidate and it the eleciton was held today it would be to close to call. And with all due respecte when BO names a VP other than HRC his numbers are going to go down another 2% and stop now i am just saying what everone on this blogs knows to be true.

As they said on SNL " I cant belevie I am losing to this guy".

david

by giusd on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:44:55 PM EST

Re: 2 new (2.00 / 1)

According to the Poll, Half of the undecideds are Clinton supporters on the fence. After the convention, I am sure at leats 2/3'rds of those folks will come on board. Obama should see a 5-8% bump in the polls after that...

by rapcetera on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:50:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 2 new (2.00 / 1)

Well,

I hope that you are right and watching Clinton endorse BO on Wed will do the trick.

david

by giusd on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:55:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 2 new (2.00 / 1)

You need to read this:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109663/ReAsse ssing-Obamas-UnderPerformance-Polls.aspx

Faced with the choice between changing one's mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everyone gets busy on the proof.

by jsfox on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:52:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Watch Chuck Todd's explanation of the poll (2.00 / 3)

on Hardball; only half of Clinton supporters indicated to the pollster that he or she was voting for Obama. A quarter have indicated they are voting for McCain and another quarter is undecided.

Todd indicated that this quarter of undecided former Clinton supporters aren't PUMA types; they are conservative dems who hate George Bush (only 12% of them approved of his performance) but love the Clintons and the 90s. They agree that McCain will continue Bush's policies (77% overall believe so), but cannot stand Obama as well. Half of the undecideds from the poll are conservative/Clinton dems.

by Blazers Edge on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:47:46 PM EST

Re: Watch Chuck Todd's explanation of the poll (2.00 / 1)

Blazer, when I hear that news, you're supposed to hand me a shot of Tequilla at the same time....

Yuck.

On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!

by WashStateBlue on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:51:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Watch Chuck Todd's explanation of the poll (2.00 / 1)

Ha Ha Make that two shots

by Politicalslave on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 08:11:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Watch Chuck Todd's explanation of the poll (none / 0)

That mirrors my position as well. i.e. in terms of the conservative dem angle..

If I got polled today , I would be undecided as well.

Some of Obama's support might be conditional on Clinton being picked as VP ( there could still be a perception out there among some of her supporters that she would be picked ) , we should put that into consideration and when she is not picked as VP there could be a drop in support for Obama too on that front.

We just don't know ....

Quite a number of hold out Clinton supporters ( more specifically conservative democrats) could use the cover of her not being on the ticket to vote against Obama.

Her speech in Denver most be very forceful in supporting and promoting Obama.

Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.

by lori on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 08:00:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

At least on the economy, that's good.... (2.00 / 1)

"Improving the economy: 42 - 30% "

That's a start, but we better start working that issue to death....

On Nov 4th, we elected "the smart guy" and the world celebrated!

by WashStateBlue on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:49:43 PM EST

"The Sky Is Not Falling." (2.00 / 1)

Can I stop hyperventilating into my paper bag now?

by Glaurung on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 07:52:01 PM EST

Sky Is Not Falling, but the water is rising (none / 0)

From the CBS/NYT report:

Republican John McCain has cut Democrat Barack Obama's nationwide lead in half, according to the latest CBS News/New York Times poll. Obama now has the support of 45 percent of registered voters, with John McCain closing in at 42 percent. The margin of error is three points.

Two weeks ago, Obama's lead over McCain was 45 percent to 39 percent. About one in four of each candidate's supporters say they could change their minds before Election Day.

Obama is unchanged but McCain has risen. Usually the candidate launching attack ads takes a hit, but the trend here is McCain making a rapid rise.

by souvarine on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 08:12:01 PM EST

Re: Sky Is Not Falling, but the water is rising (none / 0)

McCain is now winning the majority of simulations on 538.com. Obama was winning about 66% just two weeks or so ago. That's a huge swing unfortunately.

John McCain: Extending SCHIP would be an "unfunded liability."

by Fuzzy Dunlop on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:19:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"The Sky Is Not Falling." (2.00 / 2)

Another bad indicator for Obama is the number of Poll related Diaries - up 13000% in just 2 days.

"But not me personally were those cheers for"

by QTG on Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 09:51:58 PM EST

Re: 2 new polls agree (none / 0)

Great Take on Zogby..

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/the_loopy_ zogby_polls.php

again...though to me, the only polls that matter are the individual State polls.

"harlequin speech of suicide, demanding instantaneous lobotomy"

by nogo postal on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 08:55:51 AM EST

We have work to do (none / 0)

I would like someone to pose this question to the media or the pollsters.

In what country does a poll question ask, "Do you believe the Democratic Candidate is Patriotic Enough?

What a bullsh*t poll question. I call foul.

overthrow the government~participate

by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:29:23 AM EST

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